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Sun. Jul 21st, 2024

Oakland A’s vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions

By meerna Jul11,2024
Oakland A’s vs. Boston Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions

This Oakland A’s (35-59) and Boston Red Sox (50-41) end a three-game winning streak on Thursday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the FanDuel Sportsbook lines around A’s vs. Red Sox Odds and use our expert MLB picks and predictions to make the best bets.

Season streak: Red Sox lead 4-1

On Wednesday, the A’s evened the series with a 5-2 win despite being offered +172 underdog odds. JP Sears held off Boston’s attack for 5 2/3 innings, allowing 1 run on 4 hits and 2 walks with 8 K. RF Lawrence Butler went 2-for-3 with a two-run double and an All-Star rookie with Oakland Mason Miller made his 15th save, losing points in the 9th round.

Boston SP Nick Pivetta struck out 10, including 8 in a row at one point, but allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks to hand himself his 6th loss of the season. The Red Sox managed just 2 runs on 8 hits, one of them a solo homer from R.F. Rob Refsnyder. Boston currently holds the third and final wild card spot.

Projected A’s and Red Sox starters

RHP Luis Medina against RHP Tanner Houck

Medina (2-3, 4.37 ERA) is making his 8th start. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 35 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 19-8 crushing victory over the visiting Baltimore Orioles on Saturday
  • 2024 Away Split: 0-2, 4.12 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 4 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-0, 3.09 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 2 BB, 15 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
  • Last start against Red Sox: Won, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-0 home shutout on July 18, 2023

Houck (7-6, 2.68 ERA) is making his 19th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 111 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 3 1/3 IP, 1 ER (3 R), 2 H, 4 BB, 1 K in a 5-3 win in 10 innings over the New York Yankees on Friday
  • 2024 home run split: 3-4, ERA 3.23 (64 IP, 23 ER), WHIP 1.11, 8.4 K/9 in 10 starts
  • Career vs. A’s: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 1 start and 1 outing as reliever
  • 2024 vs. A’s: 1 Away Start, Won, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 HR, 0 BB, 10 K in 9-0 loss on April 1

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Red Sox A Odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for complete list. Lines last updated at 12:52 am ET.

  • Money Line (ML): A’s +190 (Bet $100 to win $190) | Red Sox -230 (Bet $230 to win $100)
  • Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS):A +1.5 (-105) | Red Sox -1.5 (-114)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

A’s and Red Sox Picks and Predictions

Forecast

Red Sox 5, A’s 3

Money line.

PASS.

Red Sox (-230) will win and take the series, but there’s no way I’m spending that much money. I’ll keep the run line bet.

Running Line/Against the Spread

RED SOX BET -1.5 (-114).

The Red Sox have been a better road team (29-17) than they have been at Fenway (21-24) this season. They are 6-5-3 in home series and haven’t won one since mid-June, but that drought ends here. They can’t afford to miss an opportunity like this against a team in the bottom five.

Houck deserves a better record, but has had a lot of bad luck. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 3 of his last 4 starts, all of which have gone to no decision. He has also allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts.

Meanwhile, the road has been tough for Medina, especially over his last three starts. He is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA (14 IP, 9 ER) in those three outings.

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Over/under

PASS With slight tilt towards below 9.5 (-102) due to solid pitching on the mound. But I’m not going to bet on that. The over/under is 5-5 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams dating back to last summer.

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By meerna

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